China is the world's largest producer and consumer of non-ferrous metals.
From the perspective of the global non-ferrous metals industry, China is the largest producer and consumer of non-ferrous metals. China's non-ferrous metals are rich in mineral resources and diverse in variety. China is among the world's leaders in terms of proven reserves of certain metals, including tungsten, molybdenum, tin, antimony and rare earth metals. China is a major producer and consumer of non-ferrous metals. By utilizing both domestic and international resources, China has established a large-scale non-ferrous metal industry. Ten non-ferrous metals (ie copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, nickel, antimony, mercury, The output of magnesium and titanium is the highest in the world.
From the perspective of non-ferrous metal use, China's non-ferrous metals are the foundation of the three pillar industries of energy, information technology and materials, and are widely used in transportation, power, construction, communications and other basic industries.
According to the data of the Prospective and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report of the Nonferrous Metals Industry released by the Foresight Industry Industry Institute, in 2017, the output of ten non-ferrous metals was 53.78 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%. Among them, the output of copper, aluminum, lead and zinc were 8.89 million tons, 32.27 million tons, 4.72 million tons and 6.22 million tons, respectively, up 7.7%, 1.6%, 9.7% and -0.7%. . The added value of the above-scale non-ferrous metals industry increased by 0.7% year-on-year.
Major non-ferrous metal production and growth in 2017
In terms of small metals, lithium and cobalt continued to maintain a significant increase in the first half of 2017 after experiencing a huge supply of new energy vehicles. The data shows that the price of lithium metal rose from RMB 650,000/ton to RMB 840,000/ton in 17 years, and increased by 29.23% in the past five months. The price of cobalt rose from 272,500 yuan/ton to 366 during the year. 000 yuan / ton, up 34.31%.
The cumulative growth rate of ten non-ferrous metals production in the first half of 2017 slowed down
Lithium-ion materials are rising more rapidly, especially cobalt
Benefiting from the gradual recovery of downstream new energy vehicle sales, and the limited increase in supply end (especially cobalt), the tight supply and demand trend of lithium battery materials will not change. The specific sub-item: battery-grade lithium carbonate supply is still tight throughout the year, the price continues to rise to around 170,000; the price of copper foil products also shows an upward trend, while the price of lithium hydroxide is relatively small. More worthy of attention, cobalt products, driven by limited production capacity, continued volatility of ternary cathode materials, and speculative factors, overseas MB cobalt prices have risen more than 100% since the beginning of the year, and cobalt salts such as tricobalt tetroxide have risen more than 60%. %.
Lithium-ion materials remain strong, especially with the strongest rise in cobalt
At present, the number of companies verified in the non-ferrous metals industry is 168. In terms of industry distribution, the number of enterprises that have been issued is mainly lead smelting, lead smelting, copper smelting and aluminum smelting. From the perspective of province distribution, Yunnan has the largest number of enterprises, and overall, it is distributed in North China. area.
Non-ferrous metals industry has issued enterprises distributed by industry
Conventional market demand forecast for non-ferrous metals
Overseas from recovery to prosperity: the impact of continuous improvement in corporate profits, US private investment growth will continue to grow in 2018, and personal income and government tax cuts will also promote the gradual restoration of its consumption, thus making the United States The economy has returned to a more stable economy; the euro zone economy, which is driven by the United States, will also be further lifted.
Product prices are stabilizing
In 2017, the price of major non-ferrous metals in China rebounded sharply year-on-year. In 2017, the average spot price of copper, aluminum, lead and zinc was 49,256 yuan / ton, 14,521 yuan / ton, 18,366 yuan / ton, 24,089 yuan / ton, an increase of 29.2%, 15.9%, 26. 0%, 42.8%.
Fixed asset investment decline
In 2017, China's non-ferrous metal industry (including independent gold enterprises) completed fixed assets investment of 614.8 billion yuan, down 6.9% year-on-year, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2 percentage points. Among them, private projects invested 495.2 billion yuan, down 8.2% year-on-year, accounting for 80.6% of the industry's investment.
Non-ferrous metal industry outlook
Promote the development and application of new materials for non-ferrous metals
Adhere to the demand-oriented, through the upstream and downstream cooperation of material production enterprises and application enterprises to improve the production of non-ferrous metal new materials production-study-research-use system. Formulate the 2018 annual key work plan for the upstream and downstream cooperation mechanism of civil aircraft aluminum, coordinate and promote the implementation of the annual key tasks; encourage qualified enterprises to establish production and application demonstration platforms, actively expand the application of lightweight materials for automobiles; and promote the construction of innovation centers for lightweight materials manufacturing .
Promote the healthy development of the non-ferrous metals industry
Continue to implement industry normative management, promote intelligent manufacturing, carry out research on new models of intelligent mines, explore relevant standards, and study and form an intelligent model that can be promoted throughout the industry. The financial properties of non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminum are strong. In order to prevent excessive speculation in the capital market, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will strengthen the price monitoring of non-ferrous metals such as aluminum with relevant departments and non-ferrous associations, and do a good job in information release and policy guidance to avoid Speculative speculation has had an overwhelming impact on the market.
Strengthen international cooperation
The first Sino-Russian Titanium Industry Forum was held to promote joint cooperation in titanium alloy technology and projects in the fields of aerospace, shipbuilding and ocean. The association will study and establish an international trade response mechanism for the aluminum industry, play a synergistic effect, organize related enterprises, form a cohesive force, prepare a response plan in advance, avoid politicization of economic issues, and multilateralize bilateral issues.
Author: Ming less
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